Archive for 2009

Sports Arbitrage Outlook: December 2009

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009
Sports Arbitrage Outlook: December 2009

Sports Arbitrage Outlook: December 2009

Cross-Market Trading Strategies use mathematical models to generate risk-free trades between different sports-betting markets.

These types of trades are all but invisible to most sports arbitrage software and they occur most often within highly liquid soccer markets where bookmakers accept the highest stakes & exchanges have the greatest market-depth.

“These cross-market constructions are the mysterious trades often spoken about in awe and referred to as ‘complex arbs’ in the forums I visit. Every request for explanation is always rebuffed as ‘insider secrets’ yet here it all is laid out on a plate.”

In this exclusive series, the highly acclaimed and widely respected trader Rajeev Shah (author “Sports Arbitrage – How To Place Riskless Bets And Create Tax Free Investments“) provides a definitive guide tounderstanding, recognizing & trading over 350 types of cross-market sports arbitrage trade using matchbets, European & Asian Handicaps, Under/Overs and others.

Volume I in this series focuses on cross-market trades involving Asian Handicaps & Under/Overs whilst Volume II focuses on cross-market trades which involve European Handicaps.

“The techniques described here are the “rocket-science trades” of the sports arbitrage universe. If you get it, then these secrets are worth hundreds of thousands of pounds to you – literally”

If you are a professional or aspiring sports arbitrage trader and want to take your trading to the highest level of longevity and profitability, this series is for you.


VOLUME I: ASIAN HANDICAPS,

UNDER/OVER CROSS-MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES | GBP 97 + 3.50 P + P


VOLUME II: EUROPEAN HANDICAP

CROSS-MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES | GBP 97 + 3.50 P + P


SPECIAL VALUE BUNDLE: VOLUMES I & II

| GBP 147 + 3.50 P + P

“This series is a game-changer. Enough said.”


Sports Arbitrage Outlook: November 2009

Sunday, November 1st, 2009

Sports Arbitrage Outlook: November 2009

Sports Arbitrage Outlook: November 2009

Cross-Market Trading Strategies use mathematical models to generate risk-free trades between different sports-betting markets.

These types of trades are all but invisible to most sports arbitrage software and they occur most often within highly liquid soccer markets where bookmakers accept the highest stakes & exchanges have the greatest market-depth.

“These cross-market constructions are the mysterious trades often spoken about in awe and referred to as ‘complex arbs’ in the forums I visit. Every request for explanation is always rebuffed as ‘insider secrets’ yet here it all is laid out on a plate.”

In this exclusive series, the highly acclaimed and widely respected trader Rajeev Shah (author “Sports Arbitrage – How To Place Riskless Bets And Create Tax Free Investments“) provides a definitive guide tounderstanding, recognizing & trading over 350 types of cross-market sports arbitrage trade using matchbets, European & Asian Handicaps, Under/Overs and others.

Volume I in this series focuses on cross-market trades involving Asian Handicaps & Under/Overs whilst Volume II focuses on cross-market trades which involve European Handicaps.

“The techniques described here are the “rocket-science trades” of the sports arbitrage universe. If you get it, then these secrets are worth hundreds of thousands of pounds to you – literally”

If you are a professional or aspiring sports arbitrage trader and want to take your trading to the highest level of longevity and profitability, this series is for you.


VOLUME I: ASIAN HANDICAPS,

UNDER/OVER CROSS-MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES | GBP 97 + 3.50 P + P


VOLUME II: EUROPEAN HANDICAP

CROSS-MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES | GBP 97 + 3.50 P + P


SPECIAL VALUE BUNDLE: VOLUMES I & II

| GBP 147 + 3.50 P + P

“This series is a game-changer. Enough said.”


Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook October 2009

Thursday, October 1st, 2009
Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook October 2009

Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook October 2009

September 2009 proved to be an exceptional month as the US Open gave traders over 2000 arbs during its 2 week run.

In addition, there were a large number of high value bonuses given out by bookmakers keen to take deposits for the NFL. Traders taking full advantage of these were able to earn well in excess of $2000 in scalping profits.

All in all, the month produced just under 15,000 arbs. These surebets were available across a range of 1034 unique matches and games. The average profit yield per trade was 3.7%.

Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook September 2009

Tuesday, September 1st, 2009
Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook September 2009

Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook September 2009

August 2009 provided a range of excellent trading opportunities in virtually every sport. With well over 14,000 surebets to choose from across 1400 different matches and games and with an average yield of 3.38%, many sports arbitrage traders will have enjoyed their most profitable month of the year so far.

Recent updates to the TraderZone mean that it now scans over 200 bookmakers.

In addition, two new features were added during August:

Next-Best Price window: Choose a trade and this window will display a list of alternative prices for the same teams/players, giving you an instant edge

Bonus Hunting window: List the bookies who have given you bonuses and the TraderZone will instantly display trades which allow you to trade them out at break-even or better.

This feature alone can easily bring you profits of more than £2,000 over the course of the next month!

Look out for large numbers of high-value bookmaker bonuses this month as bookmakers try to entice players to deposit in time for the 2009 Superbowl:

INTERTOPS: 20% DEPOSIT BONUS UP TO $150
MAKE YOUR DEPOSIT BEFORE SEPT 10TH 2009

THE GREEK: 15% RELOAD BONUS UP TO $500
VALID ON ALL DEPOSITS UNTIL 15TH SEPT 2009

PINNACLESPORTS: 10% NEW ACCOUNT SIGN-UP BONUS UP TO $500

More bonuses are listed at Bookmaker Reviews…


For more information on how to scalp bookmaker bonuses, see this free guide

Don’t miss out on this month’s amazing opportunities for free money – these bonuses are seasonal and must be taken now!

Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook August 2009

Saturday, August 1st, 2009
Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook August 2009

Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook August 2009

July 2009 provided some surprise bonuses for traders concentrating on Formula 1. These opportunities are likely to continue so look out for sports arbitrage trades in all types of match-bet (Qualifying and Race bets) as well as within the Finish/Not Finish markets.

All in all, the month produced an excellent crop of arbs. Over 13,000 surebets were available across a range of 1412 unique matches and games. Average profit yields edged up slightly to 3.7%.

Soccer & tennis continue to be the most yielding sports with a total of 6264 arbs. However, golf is catching up and is likely to remain one of the principal trading sports throughout the summer.

The summer is traditionally the most busy time of the year for many sports arbitrage traders. Multiple Grand Slam events in tennis and golf will provide you with extraordinary opportunities to profit. This all starts in May on the clay courts of the French Open

Sports Arbitrage Outlook: July 2009

Wednesday, July 1st, 2009
Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook July 2009

Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook July 2009

June 2009 was an extremely profitable month for traders thanks in large part to the 2 major grass court tennis events at Queen’s Court and Wimbledon.

All in all, the month produced a pleasing number of arbs. Over 23,000 surebets were available across a range of 1333 unique matches and games. Average profit yields edged up slightly to 3.9%. For active traders who were able to turn over their funds 4 times during the month, the monthly ROI was around 15%.

Reports suggest that the average maximum bet size accepted by bookmakers last month was approximately £300, implying that a total investment-per-arb of at least £500 was possible.

The most active sports during June, in terms of surebets, were soccer and tennis. Between them, they produced over 11,500 sports arbitrage trades. The most heavily featured bookmakers were:

5 Dimes
Pinnacle Sports
The Greek
William Hill

Golf is catching up and is likely to remain one of the principal trading sports throughout the summer.

The summer is traditionally the most busy time of the year for many sports arbitrage traders. Multiple Grand Slam events in tennis and golf will provide you with extraordinary opportunities to profit. As well as the standard fare of surebets in 2-ball & 3-ball matches, look out for large numbers of trades in special markets such as ‘Make The Cut’

I wish you a very profitable month ahead!

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A Starter’s Guide To Sports Arbitrage Betting

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

sports-arbitrage-world-traderzone-product_box

In this article I shall attempt to explain how you can become a successful sports arbitrage trader as efficiently as possible. I’ll assume that by now you have gone through the introduction to sports arbitrage trading and that you are aware of our TraderZone professional sports arbitrage software, bookmakers and e-wallets. It’s here that I will start to connect the dots for you.

First let’s consider the basic resources that you’ll need:

  • Computer – PC, Mac or Linux
  • Broadband Internet Connection
  • Phone
  • Trading Capital

Computer

These days you can use any modern computer. Entry-level hardware will be powerful enough for trading purposes and you are not tied to any particular Operating System as you will use your browser for all of your trading operations.

Broadband Internet Connection

This is essential. In general, the faster the better, but 1MB is good enough for trading effectively.

Phone

It  useful to have a phone available as some bookmakers operate telephone accounts which offer different limits to their online versions.

Trading Capital

Your trading capital is the major factor which will influence your level of profitability. You can start learning how to trade with as little as £500. This will be enough to allow you to practice and you’ll also be able to take advantage of the bookmaker bonuses to increase your capital. However, your progress will be slow and to take this opportunity seriously, you will need at least £2500. The table below provides a realistic assessment of what will be possible with different levels of trading capital.

Trading Capital £2500 – £5,000 | Likely Profits/Month £250

Since all of your bets should be low value at this stage, £5000 is enough to allow you to place funds with 30-40 bookmakers and get the ball rolling. Your profits will be very low but your goal here should be gaining experience. You are bound to make some mistakes so it’s better to lose small stakes which can easily be made up later on. You should be using your TraderZone trial at this stage -  being able to see when and where live arbs appear is a great shortcut to gaining the significant knowledge.

Trading Capital £10,000 – £15,000 | Likely Profits/Month £1,500

If you have other commitments and plan to trade for a couple of hours during the evenings and perhaps over the weekends, once you are confident in your processes, you are going to need to increase your capital in order to ensure that the time you spend generates a worthwhile extra income. Your stakes will be larger now and it’s going to be important to make sure that the periods during which you are trading are used as effectively as possible and a big part of this will be having funds on account so that you are able to execute your trades with minimum delay. The TraderZone will deliver live arbitrage information to your desktop when you need it and this will greatly enhance your trading productivity.

Trading Capital £25,000 – £30,000 | Likely Profits/Month £2,500 – £3,500

With this kind of money, you can set up as a full-time trader. As a ‘Full-time’ trader you won’t necessarily be trading 8 hours a day. The phrase refers more to the level of commitment and goals associated with your trading. At this level, you are almost certainly working from home and willing and able to trade 3 to 4 hours each day, and more during certain busy periods of the year. You should be using the TraderZone consistently and making it pay handsomely each month.

Trading Capital £35,000 – £150,000 | Likely Profits/Month £5,000 – £15,000

At this level, sports-arbitrage and other techniques such as Middles trading are your main occupations. 6-8 hours of trading each day – research and execution – will not be uncommon.

Once the initial setup has been established, you will need to open e-wallet accounts & register at some bookmakers.

E-wallet Accounts

E-wallet accounts are an important part of arbitrage trading, as they provide a fast and secure service enabling you to deposit & withdraw your funds to/from the bookmakers.

Two of the popular e-wallets are:

  • Moneybookers (www.moneybookers.com) – Moneybookers is currently considered the best e-wallet for sports betting arbitrage. It is accepted by the majority of online sportsbooks as a method of deposit and withdrawal, often free from fees. Moneybookers accepts membership from every country in the world, except countries listed by the OECD. Moneybookers accept every major currency, and most other common currencies.
  • Neteller (www.neteller.com) – Neteller is the close second contender for the best E-wallet for sports betting arbitrage. Neteller is accepted in approximately as many places as Moneybookers, perhaps even more, they accept 18 currencies but they have larger fees, and more limitations.

    The currencies offered by Neteller at this time are:
    AUD/BGN/CAD/DKK/EEK/EUR/GBP/HUF/INR
    JPY/LTL/LVL/MXN/NOK/PLN/RON/SEK/USD

It’s advisable to have accounts with both of these simply for the sake of flexibility.

There are other e-wallets, but only Moneybookers & Neteller are accepted by almost all bookmakers. You will have to open an account with any of these e-wallets and transfer your capital to the e-wallet account. Most of your trading capital will be managed in the e-wallet account.

After the capital is transferred to your e-wallet account, you’ll need to register at some bookmakers.

Bookmaker Accounts

An excellent site for choosing and researching your bookmakers is Bookmaker Reviews (www.bookmakerreviews.com)

Whilst the TraderZone is capable of scanning them all, you certainly don’t have to register with every bookmaker available to be successful with your sports arbitrage trading. In fact, early on in your career you will be better off limiting yourself to 30-40 accounts and adding to them gradually over time. Choose your initial account based on a combination of factors which include the bookmaker bonuses you are offered and the frequency with which they appear in arb trades

Paper Trading

The paper trading phase of your project should be brief. It’s an important but limited element of the learning curve. You don’t have to deposit any funds with the bookmakers to paper trade. The main purpose here is simply to get used to the layouts of the bookmaker sites and to practice finding the bets when they appear in an arb an the sports. The process is simple:

  • Whenever you choose an arb in the TraderZone, you’ll have time to study the arb completely, and understand how the calculator has allocated the stakes to each bet.
  • When you’re ready, press the button ‘Open Bookmakers’ and the sites involved in that trade will open in your browser. On each site, navigate to the correct page to access the relevant bet.
  • Once you’ve found the bets, confirm the odds are correct and that the arb does indeed exist.
  • If the trade is good, practice going as far as you can in the betting process with each site. Each bookmaker has a different method by which bets are placed, so it’s important to learn small details like which button to click and what to select to finalize a bet, especially if you have never used such sites before.

It is worth paper-trading at least 40-50 arbs before ending this phase of your training. Remember, a lesson learned at this stage may save you hundreds of pounds later on when you are trading for real.

Free Bets and Bonus Hunting

This is the first stage in which you will start using and making real money. Quite a lot of it.

Start making deposits at all of the bookmakers which offer you deposit bonuses. If your funds allow, deposit what you need to in order to gain the full bonus amounts. These will typically be in the range £20 – £200

In exchange for giving you a bonus, the bookmakers require that you bet with it and your initial deposit a number of times before you can withdraw any of it. Of course, most gamblers lose it all so the bookmaker ends up giving away nothing and keeping the initial deposit. However, traditional bonus sport arbitraging is a form of sports arbitrage trading where you hedge or back your bets as usual, but since you received the bonus, a small loss can be allowed on each wager (2-5 %), in order to facilitate the trade. This way the bookmaker’s wager requirements are met and you can withdraw the entire initial deposit and most of (90%) the sign up bonus.

The TraderZone offers an improvement over the traditional method of bonus scalping or trading. When you set up your accounts in its bonus-trading module, it will find for you all arbitrage and break-even trades that use those bookmakers, in any combination. This means that instead of incurring small, and up to now, acceptable losses, each of your trades will now capture at least 100% of the bonus, with a chance for a greater profit if the trade happens to be an arb. It also means that you can turn bonus-trading into a regular and systematic element of your portfolio, since bookmakers offer other bonuses throughout the year.

Trading With Small Stakes

Having made some significant profits with your bonus-trading, your next challenge is to go back into training-mode. This may prove psychologically difficult after enjoying the rush of making risk free profits from the bookmakers but it’s extremely important.

During this phase, you’ll actually be executing full arbitrage trades but you’ll be doing so with very small stakes. The point of this exercise is to get you accustomed to trading under pressure without exposing you to the financial and emotional damage that a large loss might wreak in the event that you make a trading error.

After executing 100 of these trades, you will be an experienced trader. FACT.

Impatient novice traders who skip this step often sustain losses which prevent them from becoming successful – don’t make this mistake yourself.

Managing Your Bankroll

Successful sports arbitrage traders accumulate profits by rapidly turning over their trading funds. The more frequent the turnover, the higher the overall profits. This is why efficient bankroll management is important.

You should aim for your bankroll to provide you with maximum liquidity. In practical terms, this means that the amount of funds on hold (i.e in no-man’s-land between your bookmaker and credit crd/bank account) should be kept as low as possible, ensuring funds are always available at the right bookmaker at the right time to place all of the good arbs.

A common mistake made by novice arb traders is to distribute all of their funds into their bookmaker accounts. This effectively locks up those funds and reduces the trader’s ability to add more funds to a bookmaker account that has been emptied as a result of trading.

The most effective way to manage the bankroll is to keep about 50% of your capital in your e-wallet account whilst depositing the balance among the bookmakers you wish to use. However, not all of your bookmakers should receive advanced funding as some of them will offer ‘Instant bet’ accounts which will debit your credit card at the instant that funds are required for a bet.

The ratio in which you distribute the rest of the funds
amongst your bookmakers may be influenced by
how often they have recently been appearing in arbs.

If you manage your bankroll as suggested, whenever you run out of funds in a particular bookmaker account, you can transfer funds from the e-wallet account. Depositing funds from an e-wallet account is free and instant with most bookmakers.

Using a Betting Exchange

Using a betting exchange is an integral part of any sports arbitrage betting strategy. The most popular and, therefore, most liquid betting exchanges are Betfair and BetDaq.

Traditionally sports arbitrage betting involves placing bets with different bookmakers to exploit the difference in odds to return a guaranteed profit. Exchanges allow the same thing but provide and should form part of every sports arbitrage trader’s arsenal. They can also be useful for damage limitation in cases where you need to hedge an exposure after missing a price with a bookmaker.

Conclusion

As a novice Sports Arbitrage Trader you face a steep learning-curve. However, the benefits are clear – as a legitimate opportunity to work at home independently and make significant and consistent profits, it is hard to beat.  As long as you invest time in your training at the early stages, you will find that the processes become second-nature to you within a couple of months. During those two months, you’ll have the ability to extract several thousand pounds of bonuses from the bookmakers so you will, effectively, be getting paid to train!

Sports Arbitrage Outlook: June 2009

Monday, June 1st, 2009
Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook June 2009

Sports Arbitrage World: Outlook June 2009

During May, sports arbitrage traders using the TraderZone received over 24,700 sports arbitrage trades spread across 1595 games and matches.

The average profit level of these trades was approximately 3.63% and for traders able to turn over their capital once per week this realistically implies a monthly ROI of approximately 16%

Reports suggest that the average maximum bet size accepted by bookmakers last month was approximately £300, implying that a total investment-per-arb of at least £500 was possible.

The most active sports during May, in terms of surebets, were soccer and tennis. Between them, they produced over 18,000 sports arbitrage trades. The most heavily featured bookmakers were:

5 Dimes
Expekt
Pinnacle Sports
Stan James

June is expected to continue this profitable run for sports arbitrage traders. In particular, be prepared to reap the rewards provided in tennis from the Gary Weber Open in Halle, Germany through to the two British Majors first at The Queen’s Club and then at Wimbledon.

There are also several golf tournaments coming up, including The US Open in New York. As well as the standard fare of surebets in 2-ball & 3-ball matches, look out for large numbers of trades in special markets such as ‘Make The Cut’

I wish you a very profitable month ahead!

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The Choices of Retirement

Thursday, May 14th, 2009

sports-arbitrage-outlook-may

Sports Arbitrage Trading In The News

Even those who undertake the time honoured method of investing in bricks and mortars are not immune from the crisis. Investing in properties has long being regarded as the safest and most practical way to build up our equity value. But as recent developments in the global economy have shown, when the US sneezes, the whole world catches a cold. Here down under, we are not immune as well. Over the past few months, it has become harder to get a loan from the banks to pay for our housing purchases. Interest rates have also got up making it more expensive to borrow as well. This is on top of the fact spruikers generally have a free rein to milk unwary investors of their life savings like in the case of Fincorp, ACR and Westpoint. Together, the collapse of these companies has resulted in losses of A$1 billion for thousands of unsuspecting retirees. Regulatory authorities like the Australian Securities and Investments Commissions (ASIC) could have done more to protect investors but did not. Their reasoning was the fact that the ASIC cannot be accountable for approving any investment prospectus but rather that burden lies with the issuer or its advisors.

In addition to investing in properties, most Australians also resort to financial planning to build up a portfolio of assets. Being a social welfare state, we also have the option of not doing anything but just relying on the aged pension. But like Ms Gillard, our Deputy Prime Minister, has mentioned even she will not be able to survive on the pension currently doled out by the pension system. If living impoverishly appeal to one as an ideal way to retire then the state welfare system can be depended upon on to provide for this living standard. In fact, the majority of these pensioners are living near the poverty line. Alternatively, we can also choose to self fund our own retirement with the superannuation funds. Regrettably, the superannuation funds are not immune from the effects of the credit crisis that the global economies are facing today. Due to the tightening of credit in the financial markets, share prices on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) have been declining by as much as 30 percent since late last year. The ultimate result is that returns on superannuation funds have also declined.

The tightening of credit on the world’s financial markets is due to the fact that the financial system is currently being poisoned by the exotic money market instruments like Collateralised Debts Obligations (CDO’s), Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS’s). Most of us have never even heard of CDO’s, MBS’s until we are witnessing the effects of these “toxic assets”. For many of us, especially those who are nearing retirement age, the credit crisis is proving to be excruciating costly lesson. To add insult to injury, the effects of the credit crisis are not just confined to declining shares prices and superannuation funds. Local councils like the Wingecarribee Shire council have lost monies earmarked for the development of schools and road due to these “toxic assets”. The money market instruments have traditionally been regarded as prime value investments due to the fact that the fixed yield and stability of these instruments are a well balanced mix over shares and bonds.

Because globalisation has changed the way the world’s economies interact with each other, the traditional views and models of investments are no longer applicable. Even the way share prices are determined has also changed. Dividend payouts used to be the beachmark on how a share is priced. With increased competitions among the market traders, news ways of generating revenues are being adopted. Computers, algorithmic trading programs and quantitative analysis like statistical arbitrage are now leading the way how market traders generate profits. When used together, these factors become a powerful trading tool for hedge funds to milk billions of dollars in profits daily from even two decimal points differences in share prices. With the volume of shares traded by these hedge funds, they are able to cause share prices to rise or fall due to their trading methodologies. It doesn’t matter which way the market is moving as the use of statistical arbitrage allows hedge funds to cover both ends of the market movements. Their risk level is effectively zero or near zero level.

Unfortunately for many of us, we will not have the ability to capitalise on these systems on the financial markets as the cost of development and maintenance of these complex system runs into millions of dollars. Nevertheless, a former London City stockbroker, Rajeev Shah, demonstrated that with a customised algorithmic program called the ArbAlarm, one can also apply the same mathematical principles to sport arbitrage. (To gain more insight, read: Sports Arbitrage–How to place riskless bets & create Tax free investments”). The globalised economy has opened up increased trading opportunities among the nations of the world. It has also allowed corporations to raise capital globally to fund their investment. However with the increased interaction between trading nations, globalisation have also brought with it risks that has a profound effect on our lives whether we like it or not. Our retirement nest, like many retirees in the US are finding out now, is slowly diminishing in value day by day. Perhaps it is time for us to open up our minds and look for alternative investment vehicles to fund our retirement. Maybe the only safe haven to fund our retirement is from somewhere which has no relationship with the global financial market, regardless of how unorthodox it may be.

Sports Arbitrage Outlook: May 2009

Wednesday, May 6th, 2009
Sports Arbitrage World Outlook: May 2009

Sports Arbitrage World Outlook: May 2009

April 2009 provided some surprise bonuses for traders concentrating on Formula 1. These opportunities are likely to continue so look out for sports arbitrage trades in all types of match-bet (Qualifying and Race bets) as well as within the Finish/Not Finish markets.

All in all, the month produced a pleasing number of arbs. Over 13,000 surebets were available across a range of 1412 unique matches and games. Average profit yields edged up slightly to 3.7%.

Soccer & tennis continue to be the most yielding sports with a total of 6264 arbs. However, golf is catching up and is likely to remain one of the principal trading sports throughout the summer.

The summer is traditionally the most busy time of the year for many sports arbitrage traders. Multiple Grand Slam events in tennis and golf will provide you with extraordinary opportunities to profit. This all starts in May on the clay courts of the French Open

There are two main types of tennis-match arb to be aware of: match-betting and set-betting

MATCH BETTING

It’s important to begin your analysis of prices from the first round. This is where the most matches are played and also where the most unknowns exist for the bookmakers. Prices are issued by most bookmakers two to four days before the start of the event. Although in the minor weekly tournaments, the bookmakers can be very sensitive to activity and are quick to move prices when bets come in, the Grand Slam events generally allow for larger stakes and more durable prices. They also tend to produce the most arbs – both because there are more matches in a Grand Slam and also because many bookmakers who do not usually price up weekly tennis matches offer markets in these higher profile events.

Tennis provides a unique variable from one tournament to the next – the surface upon which it is played. The ability of players can vary quite dramatically on different surfaces and while this is realised by most bookmakers, it is still very difficult to quantify and express accurately in a price. The sub-varieties of hard surface that exist ALSO add to the confusion.

SET BETTING

These bets specify which player will win, and by what set-score. For example, in a 3-set match, the winner’s score will be either 2-0 or 2-1. These bets provide an alternative way to hedge against a match bet on one of the players. Here is an example.

PLAYER HEWITT GONZALES
BEST MATCH ODDS 1.30 4.00
BEST SET ODDS
2-0 2.30 8.00
2-1 2.40 12.00

Although the best prices available on simple match-betting do not produce an arb, placing a bet on Hewitt to win the match (1.30) and combining that with bets on Gonzales to win 2-0 (8.00) and 2-1 (12.00) produces an arb of just over 2%

HEWITT GONZALES
1.30 76.92% 8.00 12.50%
12.00 8.33%
TOTAL PERCENTAGE = 97.76%

You will find that bookmakers tend to offer set-betting only in the later stages of the weekly satellite tournaments. However, look out for these bets being offered by a large number of bookmakers during the Grand Slams.

Of course, the rules that bookmakers apply to tennis matches sometimes differ and this issue will introduce risks to your trading if it is ignored. These risks cut both ways – windfall profits occur just as stake losses do – which means that your attitude will depend on your risk-profile.

Traders tend to fall into 1 of 3 camps:

a) Those who mix all rules and trade indiscriminately
b) Those who never mix rules
c) Those who only mix rules under certain conditions

The first style is the most risky, the second is the safest. The third might be described as the most sophisticated. Follow this link for a fuller discussion of the merits of each tennis sports arbitrage trading technique…

I wish you a very profitable month ahead!


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